Load Forecasting and System Upgrade

Course overview

Course outline

1. 1Day 1: Fundamentals of Power Systems and Network Components

   • Understanding the structure of electrical generation, transmission, and distribution systems
   • Reviewing transformer types and power factor characteristics in electrical networks
   • Understanding the operating principles of motors and generators
   • Evaluating switchgear systems and low-voltage distribution panels
   • Understanding circuit breaker technologies and protection applications
   • Reviewing protection relay types and their role in system reliability
   • Identifying critical considerations for power system modernization and upgrades
2. 2Day 2: Load Analysis and Electrical Network Modeling

   • Understanding different categories of electrical loads and consumption characteristics
   • Performing electrical load estimation and demand calculations
   • Applying diversity, demand, and utilization factors to system design
   • Evaluating voltage sensitivity and load behavior within electrical networks
   • Utilizing engineering software tools for network modeling and load analysis
   • Performing load calculations for low- and medium-voltage systems
   • Understanding smart metering technologies, electrical measurements, customer load profiles, and equipment operating cycles
3. 3Day 3: System Upgrade Planning and Load Behavior Analysis

   • Understanding coincident and non-coincident load characteristics
   • Evaluating diversity factors and demand management strategies
   • Analyzing load profiles, duration curves, and load shedding strategies
   • Applying load sampling techniques for power system analysis
   • Selecting appropriate sampling methods for different forecasting applications
   • Understanding the relationship between system losses, network demand, and operational efficiency
   • Developing system upgrade strategies that support customer growth and service reliability
4. 4Day 4: Load Forecasting Models and Capacity Planning

   • Understanding electrical load growth patterns and future capacity requirements
   • Evaluating spatial load growth and demand distribution trends
   • Applying forecasting performance measures and accuracy evaluation techniques
   • Developing short-term forecasting models for operational planning
   • Applying very short-term forecasting techniques for real-time system management
   • Developing medium- and long-term forecasting models to support infrastructure expansion
   • Practical workshop: Forecasting future demand for electrical distribution systems
5. 5Day 5: Advanced Load Forecasting Techniques and Strategic Planning

   • Applying statistical, analytical, and hybrid load forecasting techniques
   • Understanding hierarchical forecasting methods for large utility systems
   • Identifying and correcting data anomalies through cleansing and validation techniques
   • Forecasting demand response participation and retail energy consumption
   • Reviewing common forecasting errors and strategies for improving prediction accuracy
   • Developing integrated load forecasting and network upgrade plans for future-ready electrical systems
   • Course review, practical case study, lessons learned, and final Q&A